UPDATE: 1:20AM November 6th: Trump has won the 2024 race and will be the 47th President of the United States! Shortly after midnight, CST, Fox News called Pennsylvania for Donald Trump, securing him the electoral votes he needed to win. Welcome to Trump’s America.
As of 9:27 a.m. on November 6, Trump has secured 277 electoral votes, which secures him the presidency. He’s also on track to win the popular vote, a feat that may come as a surprise even to stalwart Republicans. Donald Trump will be the first President to serve two nonconsecutive terms in office since Grover Cleveland in 1892.
Trump’s path to victory included a massive victory in Pennsylvania, which was arguably the most critical win for Donald’s campaign. Prior to voting, the Harris campaign had called it one of the Rust Belt states they really needed, but it was Trump who prevailed there.
He also prevailed in Wisconsin and Georgia, two states he narrowly lost in the 2020 election.
In response to his historic performance, Trump offered the following:
I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected the 47th president. And every citizen, I will fight for you, for your family and your future.
Every single day. I will be fighting for you. And with every breath in my body, I will not rest until we have delivered the strong, safe and prosperous America that our children deserve and that you deserve.
He closed by saying he will help usher in a new “golden age of America.”
From earlier… Election night is here, and we’re in for a historic showdown! After an intense campaign season, the polls are finally closing, and voters have made their choices for President, Congress, Governors, and other state and local offices.
We’ll bring you the latest updates as results pour in, with a focus on the critical battlegrounds that could decide it all. From Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan to wild cards like Minnesota and Virginia, we’re tracking it all.
Presidential Race: Trump vs. Harris in the Decisive States
With the stakes sky-high, Trump and Harris are locked in a heated battle for the White House. This election is razor-tight, and every vote counts. Trump’s path to victory leans heavily on breaking through the “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. But he’s also pushing hard in the Sunbelt swing states of North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. If he can secure a win in Pennsylvania, his road to a second term looks far more certain. Here’s the breakdown on the states that matter most.
Key States to Watch:
- Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania is at the top of Trump’s must-win list. With high voter turnout and a strong focus on mail-in ballots, this state has been the center of attention since polls opened. Both candidates campaigned heavily here in the final weeks. Harris needs Pennsylvania to hold her ground, while a Trump victory here would be a decisive blow.
- North Carolina: North Carolina remains close as results start rolling in. With urban centers leaning blue but a strong rural turnout for Trump, this state could be pivotal.
- Georgia: Another critical state, Georgia has shown signs of leaning toward Trump, but Harris is looking to mobilize Atlanta and the surrounding suburbs. Trump’s campaign has pushed hard in rural areas, trying to lock down a definitive lead.
- Arizona: Arizona’s changing demographics make it a toss-up. Trump’s team feels confident with solid turnout at his rallies, but Harris’s campaign has invested heavily in the suburban areas of Phoenix and Tucson.
- Nevada: Nevada has become a battleground, with both campaigns investing late resources to sway voters. Trump’s message has resonated with parts of rural Nevada, but Harris is betting on strong turnout in Las Vegas to carry her over the finish line.
- Outliers to Watch: Surprises could come from unexpected states. Minnesota, Virginia, and New Hampshire have shown some polling fluctuations, with Trump potentially flipping one of these to his column. Any win in these would be a huge bonus.
UPDATES (1:20AM):
Georgia: Trump +2 (93% in) – called for Trump, 16 EV
Virginia: Harris +5 (87% in) – called for Harris
New Hampshire: Harris +5 (78% in)
North Carolina: Trump +3 (92% in) – called for Trump, 16 EV
Ohio: Trump +12 (95% in) – called for Trump, 17 EV
Pennsylvania: Trump +3 (84% in) – called for Trump, 19 EV
Michigan: Trump +5 (45% in)
Minnesota: Harris +7 (55% in)
Arizona: Trump +1 (50% in)
Nevada:
Trump 270+, Harris 209
Popular Vote: Trump 51.1%, Harris 47.6%
Here is Polymarket’s live betting projection for Trump v. Harris, where it gives Trump a 100% chance of winning (which has skyrocketed from 65% through the evening):
Senate Races: Tight Battles in Swing States
Control of the Senate is also on the line tonight, with several races too close to call. Republicans currently hold a slim majority, and every seat matters. With key races in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, tonight could shift the balance of power. Here’s the latest:
Key Senate Races
- Pennsylvania: This Senate race between incumbent Bob Casey (D) and Dave McCormick (R) is a tight one, with both candidates running neck and neck. The GOP is counting on a win here to retain their influence, while Democrats have poured millions into securing this seat.
- Michigan: Michigan’s Senate seat is another battleground between Elissa Slotkin (D) and Mike Rogers (R), looking to replace retiring Debbie Stabenow. Both parties know that winning this race could be critical for Senate control.
- Arizona: With Arizona’s demographics shifting, this Senate race between Kari Lake (R) and Congressman Ruben Gallego (D) has become one of the most closely-watched contests of the night. Trump seems to be surging in Arizona and may carry Lake over the line on his coattails.
- Montana: Montana is the best GOP opportunity to flip control of the Senate, as Trump is running strong in the red state and incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is very vulnerable. He is being challenged by Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL, and currently holds a small lead in the polls. Republicans are optimistic about flipping this seat, but Democrats are fighting hard to hold it.
- Other seats to watch:
- Ohio: Incumbent Sherrod Brown (D) vs. Bernie Moreno (R)
- Wisconsin: Incumbent Tammy Baldwin (D) vs. Eric Hovde (R)
- Indiana: Senate seat called for Republican Jim Banks
Senate Control Projection: (to be updated)
House of Representatives: GOP Looks to Hold Its Majority
The House is also in play tonight. Republicans have a narrow majority, and Democrats are looking to flip enough seats to take control, while Republicans hope to expand their ability to govern. Key House races across the country could shape the next two years of policy decisions in Congress. Polling at the end of the cycle showed a toss-up of control.
House Races to Watch
House Control Projection: (to be updated)
Governor Races: Key States in Play
Governorships in key states are also up for grabs in Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. Governors play a significant role in local policies, especially when it comes to issues like education, healthcare, and law enforcement. These races are being closely watched tonight.
Governor Races to Watch
- New Hampshire: This Governor’s race between former Senator Kelly Ayotte (R) and Joyce Craig (D) is neck-and-neck, with both parties pouring resources into what could be a pivotal state for policy and future elections.
- North Carolina: Michigan’s governorship is up for grabs. Democrats are looking for an upset in this traditionally red state, but Trump may make that difficult. Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R) is running against AG Josh Stein (D).
- Washington: Washington’s Governor’s race has been competitive, reflecting the state’s discontent with rising crime and drug issues. The outcome here could influence future elections. Rep Dave Reichert (R) is running to beat AG Bob Ferguson (D).
- Other Governor races: Indiana’s next governor is Republican Mike Braun.
Governor Control Projection: (to be updated)
Election Night Insights and Real-Time Updates
We’re following these key races as results are reported and analyzed. This election could redefine American politics, and as these numbers roll in, we’ll give you the facts, without the spin. Every state, every district, every single vote matters tonight, and we’re here to keep you updated.
For Trump and his supporters, tonight is about regaining the White House. For Harris and her campaign, it’s about holding onto the current administration’s agenda. And for voters, it’s about shaping the future of America. Stay with us for the real updates you can trust.
Key Takeaways:
- Presidential Race: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona are key states for Trump’s path to victory.
- Senate Control: Tight races in Pennsylvania, Montana, Arizona, and Michigan could determine control of the Senate.
- Swing State Surprises: Watch for outliers like Minnesota, Virginia, and New Hampshire—unexpected wins here could shift the night’s outcome.
Stay tuned for the latest, as we continue to provide clear and factual updates on this critical election night.
Senate Races: Tight Battles in Swing States
Control of the Senate is also on the line tonight, with several races too close to call. Republicans currently hold a slim majority, and every seat matters. With key races in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, tonight could shift the balance of power. Here’s the latest:
Key Senate Races
-
- Pennsylvania: This Senate race between incumbent Bob Casey (D) and Dave McCormick (R) is a tight one, with both candidates running neck and neck. The GOP is counting on a win here to retain their influence, while Democrats have poured millions into securing this seat. With 83% reporting, McCormick leads Casey by 49.5% to 48.1%. Too close to call.
-
- Michigan: Michigan’s Senate seat is another battleground between Elissa Slotkin (D) and Mike Rogers (R), looking to replace retiring Debbie Stabenow. Both parties know that winning this race could be critical for Senate control. With 45% reporting, Rodgers leads Slotkin 50.3% to 46.9%. Too close to call.
-
- Arizona: With Arizona’s demographics shifting, this Senate race between Kari Lake (R) and Congressman Ruben Gallego (D) has become one of the most closely-watched contests of the night. Trump seems to be surging in Arizona and may carry Lake over the line on his coattails. With 50% reporting, Gallego leads Lake 52% to 46%. Too close to call.
-
- Montana: Montana is the best GOP opportunity to flip control of the Senate, as Trump is running strong in the red state and incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is very vulnerable. He is being challenged by Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL, and currently holds a small lead in the polls. Republicans are optimistic about flipping this seat, but Democrats are fighting hard to hold it. With just 14% reporting, Sheehy leads Tester 58% to 41%. Too early to call.
- Other seats to watch:
- Ohio: Incumbent Sherrod Brown (D) vs. Bernie Moreno (R), defeats Brown
- Wisconsin: Incumbent Tammy Baldwin (D) vs. Eric Hovde (R): Hovde leads by 2 points with 75% in, too close to call.
Senate Control Projection: Republicans are projected to control the Senate in 2025. They currently hold a 51-49 majority but could extend it to 53 or 54 by the end of vote counting.
House of Representatives: GOP Looks to Hold Its Majority
The House is also in play tonight. Republicans have a narrow majority, and Democrats are looking to flip enough seats to take control, while Republicans hope to expand their ability to govern. Key House races across the country could shape the next two years of policy decisions in Congress. Polling at the end of the cycle showed a toss-up of control.
House Control Projection: (to be updated)
Governor Races: Key States in Play
Governorships in key states are also up for grabs in Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. Governors play a significant role in local policies, especially when it comes to issues like education, healthcare, and law enforcement. These races are being closely watched tonight.
Governor Races to Watch
-
- New Hampshire: This Governor’s race between former Senator Kelly Ayotte (R) and Joyce Craig (D) is neck-and-neck, with both parties pouring resources into what could be a pivotal state for policy and future elections.
-
- North Carolina: Michigan’s governorship is up for grabs. Democrats are looking for an upset in this traditionally red state, but Trump may make that difficult. Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R) is running against AG Josh Stein (D).
-
- Washington: Washington’s Governor’s race has been competitive, reflecting the state’s discontent with rising crime and drug issues. The outcome here could influence future elections. Rep Dave Reichert (R) is running to beat AG Bob Ferguson (D).
-
- Other Governor races: Indiana’s next governor is Republican Mike Braun.
Governor Control Projection: (to be updated)
Election Night Insights and Real-Time Updates
We’re following these key races as results are reported and analyzed. This election could redefine American politics, and as these numbers roll in, we’ll give you the facts, without the spin. Every state, every district, every single vote matters tonight, and we’re here to keep you updated.
For Trump and his supporters, tonight is about regaining the White House. For Harris and her campaign, it’s about holding onto the current administration’s agenda. And for voters, it’s about shaping the future of America. Stay with us for the real updates you can trust.
Key Takeaways:
-
- Presidential Race: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia are key states for Trump’s path to victory. As of midnight, Trump knocked down every obstacle in his path except for Pennsylvania, which we expected would take a long time to finish counting.
-
- Senate Control: Republicans officially control the next session of the Senate; it only remains to know how big their majority will be.
-
- Swing State Surprises: It looks like Trump came close to picking up states he didn’t need, but in the end he is poised, as of midnight, to take 1-3 of the blue wall states.
Stay tuned for the latest, as we continue to provide clear and factual updates into the next day.
