If you believe the mainstream media, you probably think the 2020 race is all over. But Trump thinks otherwise.
It seems they were much faster to call states for Biden, even before every vote was counted.
They might have called one very early on that might have been wrong, for Sleepy Joe.
Trump’s internal numbers are showing he could be headed for a victory:
AZ early am update. Maricopa County overnight was a pickup of ~50,000 votes for Trump. Biden lead is now ~90k with ~520k ballots out there. A 60-40 Trump split of those ballots would put Trump ahead by ~10k. Trump has been winning the count 60-40 or better since late last night.
And now there has been another encouraging update:
Thorough breakdown, we believe @realDonaldTrump’s win margin in AZ will be closer to 30K votes, probably just under that.
Keep in mind we’re now counting Election Day voters.
Reports indicate that there are many more votes coming in from Arizona since some outlets called it for Biden. From what’s being seen, many believe these votes will give Trump a lead.
His campaign now is saying he might win by around 30,000 votes
So, why were so many people calling it for Biden early on? Apparently, there was an “error” that put the early percentage at 95%:
The latest plot twist comes from Arizona, which had reportedly counted 95%+ of its votes. NYT notes that “due to an error in an Edison Research data feed of results … the actual estimate is that 86% of the vote has been counted.”
Arizona is critical for President Trump this week. If he is able to win it and Pennsylvania (where he holds a significant lead) then he will win. That will be the case even if he doesn’t hold Michigan or Wisconsin.
But he still needs to win Georgia and North Carolina, where he is leading in both (though the states refuse to call the final tally).
Do you think Trump will get four more years?
- An early error put Arizona votes higher than they were.
- A recent report suggests there are many more votes still be counted, with Trump possibly taking the lead.
- He will win if he holds onto AZ, PA, GA, and NC.